Main content

How Deadly Is Ebola?

Tim Harford scrutinises claims made about the virus outbreak. Plus guide dogs and cyclists, prison numbers and ATOS fit-for-work checks.

Media reports are suggesting that as many as 12,000 people may have Ebola in West Africa, but experts tell More or Less that's not the case. It's also said that Ebola kills up to 90% of victims, but while that's true of one outbreak, the death rate in other Ebola outbreaks has varied widely. Tim Harford and Ruth Alexander look at what we know about how dangerous Ebola is, how bad the latest outbreak is, what factors might influence whether people survive once they're infected, and how likely it is that there might be an outbreak of the virus in the UK.

Have 25% of guide dogs in London been hit by a cyclist? Tim Harford fact-checks the numbers behind a questionable headline.

The Justice Secretary Chris Grayling has said an 'unexpected' rise in the prison population is in part driven by 700 more sex offenders being sentenced this year than last. But is this really what's driving the numbers? Tim Harford speaks to Carol Hedderman, visiting scholar in criminology at University Of Cambridge.

Internet rumours abound that 10,600 people have died within six weeks of being pronounced fit to work. But the numbers are not quite all they seem. Tim Harford takes a close look at them with Tom Chivers of The Daily Telegraph.

Presenter: Tim Harford
Producer: Ruth Alexander.

Available now

28 minutes

Last on

Sun 31 Aug 2014 20:00

Chapters

  • How Deadly Is Ebola?

    Reports say 12,000 people in West Africa have ebola, but experts say that's not the case

    Duration: 08:26

  • Guide Dogs Hit by Cyclists

    Have 25% of London's guide dogs been hit by a cyclist?

    Duration: 02:48

  • 'Fit to Work' Deaths

    Internet rumours claim 10,600 people died within 6 weeks of being pronounced fit to work

    Duration: 03:57

  • Sex Offenders Fuel Prison Population Rise

    Is the rising prison population down to an increase in sex offenders being sentenced?

    Duration: 05:18

Broadcasts

  • Fri 29 Aug 2014 16:30
  • Sun 31 Aug 2014 20:00

Explore further with The Open University

Explore further with The Open University

Visit the More or Less programme page on OU Connect

When can you trust statistics?

When can you trust statistics?

BBC Ideas discovers three easy ways to help make sense of statistics.

Download this programme

Download this programme

Subscribe to the More or Less Podcast or download individual episodes.